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Last week, at a social gathering, a person sipping expensive single malt whiskey was asking me how deep the economic crisis was. I just told him that if there was a real economic crisis or a big crisis looming, he would not be sipping whiskey here, but queuing for fuel or essential food items. In Nepal, negativity sells well when practically every conversation in the family or society revolves around talking ill about someone, society, ethnic groups, religious groups, caste, businesses or institutions. Therefore, it is nothing unnatural for people to talk about how the Nepali economy is coming to an end just this week or maybe the next. We are well reminded of “Nepal is a going to be a failed state” campaigners who built many houses and sent their children to expensive schools around the world selling the idea of a failed state. Perhaps, there is a whole new crop emerging who will make a fortune talking about an economic crisis. To add to this, there are following five reasons for the economic crisis story to spread like wildfire.

Why the story sells

First, the Sri Lankan crisis, which is completely different from Nepal, is being used to go on a full-fledged China bashing spree; and in India, it has become awkward if you are not blaming China for the Sri Lankan crisis. And why not lump Nepal with it too? Even Indian stringers for media outlets like the Nikkei Asia Review have done that. Further, WhatsApp University in India and Hindi channels are easier to quote in Nepal as many of the fake news spreaders in Nepal are well versed in Hindi and never read English language research reports that are published by the World Bank, International Monetary Fund or other international institutions. So, Nepalis don’t need to make much effort, just reshare the posts from India in Hindi or just put a Nepali translation and share. Media houses close to India’s federal government continue to make sensational news. News channels like Aaj Tak of the India Today group, known to spark #GoBackIndianMedia is back to its antics of selling the Nepal economic crisis story.

Second, there is not much research that happens in Nepal that is sponsored by the private sector as sponsoring events where booze flows like water and expensive entertainment takes priority to funding research institutions or building internal research teams. Banks average a billion dollar market capitalisation, but we do not hear of any deep analysis and research coming out. Therefore, C-Suite folks and board members depend on WhatsApp University and YouTube videos for telling the journalist what they think of the crisis, and they tend to amplify the crisis story also.

Third, there is a liquidity crisis in the formal sector that is regulated by the central bank, but there is money available in unregulated cooperatives and informal cooperatives. Many of these cooperatives have linkages with people in the formal banking industry, so they may recommend to you where to get higher rates for deposits or loans at steep interest rates. In a country where nearly a billion dollars in graft money gets accumulated each year, there is no issue of liquidity. It is only that the formal sector does not have money.

Fourth, in a country where trading rules and the business of arbitrage are protected by cartels in the guise of associations, people find a crisis something to rent seek on. Like how the vegetables in the market suddenly become costlier when news of a landslide comes in, it is important how you just spread the news of a crisis and fetch higher prices for the goods in one’s stock. Further, you can get government help to stop imports and ensure you have a gala time. So if you have a snack company that produces snacks with the same brand name as an Indian one, you can get the government (of course, you have to take care of the politicians) to ban their import as luxury items, and you can sell contraband at higher prices. Who says crisis is bad for business? It is just a good time to get rid of your stock at higher prices citing the crisis and ensure no new stocks arrive for some more time. Of course, after July 16, there is a new fiscal year and the rules will again change.

Finally, crisis is a good time to find scapegoats and fire people you do not like. The finance minister tried firing the governor of the central bank, but the Supreme Court made that not possible. In coalition politics in an election year, it is all about money. It’s about who can pay to get someone fired. And then you can ask the other group to pay more for not firing. It’s the best business to be in. And the all-party mechanism is very good in handling these win-win moments.

What’s ahead

The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank both have made their views clear on why it is not a crisis that is being projected. The Central Bureau of Statistics is telling us that Nepalis are making more money than in previous years. Formal remittances are picking up, but there is an equal amount of informal remittances that are now used to make payments at higher exchange rates as there are curbs on foreign exchange. In an election year, we are to see more populist programmes coming in, and we will see a surge in government spending in the last two months of the financial year like in earlier years as only 28 percent of the capital expenditure budget has been spent in the first nine months.

In an environment where banks collude in fixing exchange rates and interest rates, they are not indicative of the state of the economy like in other countries. As long as wedding and other social parties are happening, as long as people are spending money at eateries, as long as people are buying gold and jewellery, and as long as people are not abandoning construction projects, we need to understand that there is no economic crisis. 

Read the article on The Kathmandu Post: https://tkpo.st/3MLz2b4

I keep wondering when it will be possible to have a direct flight from Kathmandu to Pakyong that will help get to the Himalayan state of Sikkim without the arduous journey that includes crossing the land border at Kakarbhitta-Naxalbari in eastern Nepal. Cartels on both sides have ensured that well-built infrastructure of a new bridge and good roads are not to be used to provide rickshaws so that local vehicles can continue to fleece travellers. Of course, such cartels cannot exist without the protection and patronage of business organisations and politicians. The thought of crossing the border deters people on both sides, as the frontiers are treated as a point of extortion and control rather than facilitation. However, on both sides of the border, post-pandemic, internal movement between the two countries will perhaps rekindle tourism helping to benefit economies on either side.

Tourism destination

Sikkim is a beautiful Himalayan state where every Nepali will feel at home as they speak the same language, eat similar food and enjoy following familiar artists, writers and narratives. At Rachana Books, Gangtok’s independent bookstore, the conversations with fellow The Kathmandu Post columnist Amish Mulmi makes one feel talking about the issues of borders, connectivity and opportunities nothing different than our conversations in Nepal. Meeting and chatting up with stellar English language authors Prajwal Parajuly and Chetan Raj Shrestha or editors Anurag Basnet and Pema Wangchuk, one wonders how different it is to tell or edit a Himalayan story emerging from Nepal or Sikkim.

With the complicated geopolitics, it is a challenge for Nepal to balance itself in the new world order, but for a land that was just annexed less than 50 years ago, it is even more difficult. There has not been so much movement between Sikkim and Nepal as there used to be three decades ago. It is becoming more difficult for the younger generation on both sides to understand what it means to be a Nepali-speaking person from Nepal in Sikkim or a Sikkimese speaking Nepali. This matter complicates further as the nearby districts of Darjeeling and Kalimpong in West Bengal add another dimension where sub-identities within the broader identities are being promoted for political reasons to get away from the more significant uniqueness of the Nepali language that unifies everyone. Perhaps, this makes it very important to look at the more people-to-people movement to encourage people to engage with and understand each other. Therefore, it is crucial for people on both sides to think of how movement can be facilitated.

For people in Nepal, the government orders travel bans through restrictions on issuing dollars. The need to fulfil a long list of conditions before travelling outside Nepal makes people who want to travel look towards India. Therefore, Sikkim can be something that could be on the list of people wishing to travel. The government of Sikkim can recalibrate to get the required user-friendly and electronic paperwork. The travel form is easy to fill out, but there is no equivalent to fill to get the permits, especially those to go to some of the restricted areas like Nathula. Local tourism operators also find ridiculous the rule requiring an additional person to travel as a guide with a group, and see it more as tourist sponsored payment to the unemployment programme. It is also essential to ensure more compatibility in using digital payment platforms. Many establishments have not registered for taking international cards, leaving only digital payments. If the Indian Unified Payment Interface (UPI) platforms can be legally used in Nepal, it is important to have reciprocal arrangements like being able to use Nepal-based electronic payment platforms within the current guidelines of limits in India.

Linking up

There is much history to be revisited as the road link between Nepal and Sikkim opens, making driving into the state from Nepal possible without going through West Bengal. With the road linking Uttarey in West Sikkim and Chiwa Bhanjyang in Nepal getting closer to completion, the two former Himalayan kingdoms can connect directly.

Geopolitical winds are getting even more volatile after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. It becomes essential that traditional links be revived and strengthened. As the Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal (BBIN) sub-regional cooperation framework advances, more intra-regional linkages will develop. The dream of a Nepali flying freely into its Himalayan neighbour into Pakyong in Sikkim and then into Paro in Bhutan using fifth freedom rights would perhaps make this Himalayan citizen happy.

This also brings us back to building on the Himalayan Consensus’s foundation work. With Nepal not undertaking the Sagarmatha Dialogues, it’s only natural that Sikkim hosts the Kanchenjunga Dialogues to keep the discourse going. In Gangtok, Nepal and the Worldprogramme of the Nepal Economic Forum did announce a platform anchored in Gangtok to work to revive a historical relationship further and push re-introducing Sikkim and Nepal to the new generation. The core of every relationship is people-to-people exchanges based on which only bilateral relationships between countries can build. 

Read the article on The Kathmandu Post: https://tkpo.st/3vjsOZ2

It is always challenging to stay positive and forward-looking with all that is happening worldwide: The war in Ukraine, the political and economic crisis in Sri Lanka, and the liquidity crisis in Nepal. The dysfunctional Parliament, an impeachment motion against the chief justice of the Supreme Court surfacing once in a while, thoughts about the consequences of the neighbours abstaining from voting in a UN resolution where Nepal has voted against the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the list goes on. But in Nepal, the most significant advantage is some fantastic stuff you can see around art, music and culture that helps you forget the challenges and lose yourself in appreciating good art, listening to good music and embarking on gastronomical journeys. The past month of March was all about such positivity as The Kathmandu Triennale provided a glimpse of where art has moved along with curation.

Planning an event at the end of a pandemic wave is not easy; one is not sure when a new variant will lockdown our lives. KT 2077 was such an event that the organisers were unsure how many people would risk visiting, and how possible it would be to have small events. This was an event that gave hope to many more event organisers. Thousands of people visited the multiple venues where great pieces of art, installations and multi-media art were put up. This was through the efforts of many volunteers and the tireless efforts of the curators led by Sangeeta Thapa, known for her untiring perseverance. This was also one of the events that interacted with the young TikTok and Instagram generations. It was interesting to see how the online space was flooded with photos, videos and other forms of interactions people had with the curated works. Perhaps, as the organisers would sit back and reflect on the event, they should be pleased about the response KT 2077 got.

Looking ahead

One of the most significant transformations we see in Nepal has been in art, culture, music and beyond that has brought up front many young artists from across the country. Nepal has also been a place where artists long to visit, with Kathmandu being the cosmopolitan capital of South Asia. Of course, there have been state intervention in stifling some of these as the government uses tools like making visas difficult for people who want to stay longer. But apart from that, there have been minor state interventions in banning or obstructing programmes as we see in some other South Asian countries. The restrictions on activities in some countries in South Asia have led to Nepal becoming a go-to place for young artists, filmmakers, writers and others who would like to indulge in creative pursuits. This is what Nepal needs to leverage. Like the Jaipur Literature Festival has been able to convert the city into a vibrant destination in a decade, Nepal has the opportunity to become a destination known for such events. Photo Kathmandu, Kathmandu Jazz Festival, Film South Asia, Kathmandu International Mountain Film Festival and many other events are already in people’s minds. Still, no harm in having more as long as it is done in a coordinated manner.

Post-pandemic, it is very clear that new segments of tourists are emerging, with growing interest, especially in the experiential ones. People who just want to go to experience rather than be product-driven like trekking, climbing or doing a jungle safari. Nepal is fortunate to be land-linked with India and China. Within a few hours’ flying distance; it connects with over half of humanity. Africa is already emerging as a future market potential in the younger segment as the continent will cross 2 billion people by the mid-2040s. Within the neighbourhood, there could be exploratory journeys by road as caravan travel revives that may bring hundreds of young people from India and China to experience Nepal during events.

The ecosystem

It is crucial for such events to succeed globally to have a good ecosystem. Kathmandu Valley, especially Patan, has now hundreds of rooms available on different booking sites like Airbnb. Restaurants, coffee shops and hangout places with the look and feel of global outlets are increasing rapidly. Of course, we need to work on our service delivery through better training and appreciation of people’s jobs. We see ride-hailing services make it easier for people to move around, and cycling through the city through bike rentals is possible. Google maps work well. Since every Nepali household has someone within their family or friends in different parts of the world, it is not like 30 years ago when Nepalis were unaware about places, countries and people. Social media platforms allow people to jump to places and seek information virtually. Nepal is still considered safe by tourists compared to many other South Asian countries, with a history of handling international tourists for over seven decades from a safety perspective.

It is always important to reflect when events like KT 2077 end in a roaring success. It opens opportunities to take it one notch up, and encourages others to think of more creative stuff.

Read the article on The Kathmandu Post: https://tkpo.st/3J6EF1m

Whenever the issue of remittances comes up, we either see headlines about a drastic drop in inflow or a meteoritic rise. But we all often forget that the data collected by Nepal Rastra Bank only includes remittances that come through formal channels. When we say formal channels, it generally means transferring money directly into banks or through different money transfer agencies. The amount that is being sent and what is received are both recorded. These records are then submitted to Nepal Rastra Bank, where the data is collated and released periodically. While data suggests remittances through formal channels accounts for $7 to $8 billion or Rs10 trillion, it could also be true that an equal amount of money is flowing through informal channels. The president of the Confederation of Banks and Financial Institutions indicated that the size of formal remittance to Nepal should be around Rs20 trillion (equivalent to $16.66 billion).

However, there is no way to understand how much is informal remittances. One could only do back-of-the-envelope calculations based on how much gold has potentially come to the market. A drop in remittances after air travel resumed means people can carry goods rather than money. When I was chatting with a returnee migrant last week, they talked about how they were apprehensive to send money back to Nepal now, as they think that the dollar to rupee exchange rate may hit one hundred and forty. He anticipates getting Rs150 for his dollar in the informal market.

Why informal channels?

A recent study conducted by Beed Management is in its final stages, clearly bringing out the big issue of informal remittances for which practically no data or studies are available. The study rooted in quantitative analysis of interviewing over 1,600 migrant workers and virtual focus group discussions in 10 countries revealed some interesting facts. The reasons attributed towards sending money by migrant workers through informal channels rather than formal channels are multi-fold, but can be grouped under four points.

First, there is lack of trust among migrants about formal channels. There is little trust in government, especially the way a migrant worker experiences the behaviour of government agencies before departure. They also trust private sector folks less as their only interaction has been the employment agencies. Second, compared to the previous generation of migrant workers who went abroad in the early 2000s, the current generation is more technology savvy. Still, financial literacy is poor among them like the earlier ones. While they use different apps and other tools on their phones, they are still wary of banking and transferring money over the phone.

Third, the data collection system requires marked improvement as a lot of data is mixed up. For instance, an individual working for an international organisation like the UN in Nepal would be receiving their salary from New York, and that gets counted as remittances. No wonder the source of remittances from the United States is so high! Finally, the cost of remittances still is high. In our conversations during the discussion groups, we learned that the costs of formal remittances are high and informal remittances give higher exchange rates; therefore, there is little incentive for people to move to formal channels. All these reasons ensure that informal remittances remain high.

What needs to be done?

The key is to develop an ecosystem that will incentivise people to send money through formal channels rather than informal ones. It is also important to build awareness and trust, and improve digital and financial literacy. With the Nepali economy being trade dominated and a mindset of profiting from arbitrage, it is impossible to control the world of informal channels like hundi; therefore, rather than controlling the mindset, we need to shift gears towards facilitating incentivising it.

For instance, when people send money through banking channels in Bangladesh and Pakistan, the government tops up a percentage or two on the remitted amount, which acts as a big incentive. Similarly, allowing people to open dollar accounts that they can use will serve as an incentive. But having provisions of a foreign exchange account with restrictions on how much one can use by limiting the per visit amount, credit card usage to $2,000 a year and so forth will not encourage remitters, especially the ever-increasing number of skilled and knowledge workers who are working outside Nepal and sending money back home.

Australia has a sizeable Nepali population remitting money back to Nepal. Still, due to these restrictions, people have indicated that they would not want to open accounts in Nepal. The government needs to focus on being a facilitator instead of a controller. Ensuring that Nepalis working in India can send money over digital platforms at the lowest cost can convert billions of dollars’ worth of remittances from informal to formal channels. With India, there is no hedging against currency risks, and the difference in informal exchange rates at the borders is marginal. People would love to use this facility for its convenience from a safety perspective.

Similarly, Nepali banks should be allowed to extend digital wallet facilities to work like Indian wallets for people with bank accounts in India can make it work in Nepal. Finally, allowing Nepalis to invest outside Nepal formally (which is already happening informally) will further incentivise people to invest rather than spend on consumption or non-productive assets like land and gold. For instance, a Nepali national opening a restaurant in Dubai can raise money for their venture and invest through a company registered in Nepal, bringing better profits and dividends back home.

The world of informal remittances just in bits and pieces is enormous, and further research and analysis are required, as by current trends, remittances to Nepal by 2035—formal and informal—would cross $100 billion.

Read the article on The Kathmandu Post: https://tkpo.st/3qmbYan

Last week, we read about the new guidelines that are being prepared to restrict Nepalis from travelling abroad apparently to save foreign exchange. The rules range from declaring income and cash to more stringent ones for women. While it is important to make rules that make the informal transfer of money through “hundi” illegal and impose strict curbs on human trafficking, they will not control either as it will give one more source of corruption money.

In the past, many embassies in Nepal required people to submit bank balance and asset details while submitting applications for visas. While in the early days, I was also doing this voluntarily as a chartered accountant to save friends and family members some money, later on, as the scams became more extensive, I stopped. There used to be classified advertisements in newspapers that openly advertised arranging the bank balance required for visa applications. With these scams hitting the roof, many embassies discontinued the practice. In Nepal, since law enforcement agencies are either easy to bribe or too late in understanding the loopholes, it is difficult to enforce such guidelines. If it is done now, to allow some leeway for fellows in government and party people to make some money in different scams to circumvent these rules, then we can say little.

Mindset is the key

Foreign travel in Nepal has always been associated with the privileged and a luxury. During the Rana days, one could not travel without getting sanctions from the rulers. Former United Nations official Kul Chandra Gautam, in his memoirs, narrates his horrific story of trying to get a passport for two years despite getting a scholarship from a United States university and there was a visa ready for him. Ordinary mortals were not allowed to travel, and those who travelled had to have some links with rulers and governments. Despite millions of Nepalis travelling abroad for work and pleasure, it is somehow considered still taboo. With practically every family having some relative or friend abroad, foreign travels became easier. Airfares plummeted, connections became more accessible and affordable. Visa restrictions in many countries for Nepalis went away. For instance, visa on arrival in Indonesia saw hundreds of thousands of Nepalis travel to Bali. A holiday in Bali or Bangkok is much cheaper than a holiday in Goa in India.

Further, social media has brought many places right in front of you on your phone; therefore, the desire to explore, of course, came to you if you had the money to do so. Banks with travel agencies started to finance holidays that one could pay in monthly instalments like buying a car or washing machine. Policymakers have not seen the major transformation in Nepali society and stick to the old ways of control.

In our culture, everyone talks about restrictions and control first rather than how you face a challenge. As soon there is a death in the family, many consultants will come up with a list of restrictions. What you cannot do, what you cannot eat, and when you cannot go outside the house. Foreign travel has also been culturally associated as a restriction. Everyone knows the story of Jung Bahadur having to go through a purification ritual after coming back from England. With a government and bureaucracy dominated by Hindus and the revival of conservative Hinduism in Nepal, foreign travel is associated with cultural pollution, so the subconscious mind does not infringe on any travel restriction.

Further, the restrictions are for people without connections. An industry of invitation providers will be created to provide invitations for connected people to travel. Many politicians and bureaucrats (current and former) will hardly be affected as their children are settled outside Nepal and are fence-sitting with s permanent residency, green card and other documents they hold. So, like getting a driver’s licence, passport, vaccination cards and other services from the government, the privileged will not get impacted.

Restrictions will backfire

Many young people have pondered whether Nepal is the correct zip code for pursuing global ambitions. Like people in India in the 1980s, where their dreams were throttled, decided to leave for greener pastures, young Nepalis who have global aspirations do not want to be based in a country where the government can be so stupid. Forget reversing brain drain; those contemplating returning will not come to a country where you have to run pillar to post to get your $250. There will undoubtedly be migration into countries that are seeking innovators and investment. Selling property in Nepal gives you enough money to start something in a country that welcomes you.

Small actions of authorities can have a long-term impact on citizens. While positive moves like getting passports from district offices and getting them in one day opened up foreign employment opportunities, rules of restriction can create a quiet movement of brain drain and capital flight that the government can never control. We hope these stupid rules planned will never see the light of the day like the crazy rules that restrict women’s movement in strict Islamic countries, but citizen pressure is essential. Perhaps it could start with a social media page naming people in decision-making positions that are part of such hypocritical rulemaking.

Read the article on The Kathmandu Post – https://tkpo.st/3KqNnJ8

The lesson from the pandemic is that Nepal needs to get to high-end tourism in a big way.

When you arrive at Kathmandu’s international airport, you can notice a change. A travelator has been installed after people complained about the three apartment-style elevators which created long queues. However, when I was using the travelator, I was warned by a friendly cop standing nearby that the brakes in most trolleys were not working, so it could be a safety hazard. The authorities never think about things like these as ministers and senior government officials hardly use the channels used by mere mortals, or they have their dozens of sycophants carrying stuff for them, so they never know what works or not. As far as people outside power is concerned, they hardly travel with their own money when work-related junkets dry up. 

Tourism, be it domestic or international, begins at airports. I have continuously written; with our socialistic instincts, we tend to make airports look and feel more like bus stops than the other way around. Nepal’s airports before the pandemic had the distinction of being labelled as one of the worst airports in the world. Hopefully, the authorities will feel less proud about this and want to change their attitude to get out of the world’s worst airports list. It is so perplexing to learn that Hamad International Airport in Doha, Qatar wins continuously major global awards. The airport is full of people from Nepal working there, yet the country from where these workers come has the worst airport. 

Domestic tourism

Nepali domestic tourism started to flourish after the end of the Maoist insurgency as people felt safer travelling in their own country. Lodging and eateries have sprung up all over the country. Pictures and videos on Instagram and Twitter provide an opportunity to discover places people have never heard of. Vloggers with cameras on their bikes offer a peek at the country’s diversity and how terrain, food, vegetation and landscape change. 

During the pandemic, as no foreign tourists were around, hotels started to recalibrate their products, menu and services to cater to domestic tourists. They also began to realise that the average spending of Nepali tourists is much higher than the low budget foreign travellers they were catering to. Lodge owners in Langtang and Annapurna region, who discriminated against Nepali travellers, now realised how they were stupid in the past giving preference to foreign tourists over Nepali tourists. 

This is very similar to how Thamel eateries became dependent on Nepali clients during the insurgency. They were hit by 9/11 and SARS travel restrictions that led to a drop in the arrival of foreign tourists. A country of 30 million is a big market. With women travelling solo or in groups more than ever before, 50 percent of the market that was never a segment say 15 years back is now a significant segment to cater to. Young women getting together to explore their country, go on treks and traverse the country is a new segment that entrepreneurs have not yet thought about. Nuclear families being bombarded by beautiful posts on social media is pushing people to explore like never before. 

Entrepreneurs wake up 

Nepal’s unique laws treating investments in hotels as a priority sector created a breed of real estate speculators who became tourism entrepreneurs overnight and now control industry and trade bodies. It was the easiest way to buy land and speculate on real estate. People who have never seen how a room is cleaned or how a dish is prepared in the kitchen suddenly started becoming the voices of the tourism industry. Regulations were flouted, be it health or safety. They do not mind guests making noise till the wee hours of the morning as long as they sell the booze. Pre-pandemic, there were many stories about how international tourists just left their hotels not being able to bear the noise domestic tourists were creating. They do not understand food safety, nor are they willing to look at cleanliness in the rooms. It’s just a landlord with a business card and rent-seeking on the property one has built. 

The key learning from the pandemic is that Nepal needs to get to high-end tourism in a big way as the real estate prices cannot justify having hotels to cater for $10-15 tourists who spend another $10. Domestic tourism is far more lucrative, so entrepreneurs need to explore newer destinations for high-end tourism spots by working with competing local bodies who want to have some of the best properties in their municipality or rural municipality. Studies have shown that tourism, rather than creating revenues, create many jobs essential in Nepal. 

However, high-end tourism requires bringing in world class players and global standards and practices. Concessions have to have exclusivity without crowding places with similar properties; environmental assessment cannot be a paper one can buy by paying someone under the table. The mindset of entrepreneurs has to be about investing a lot in their learning about products and services, travelling the world to experience such products and services, and hiring the best chains and people to manage it. Every crisis provides an opportunity to correct mistakes. I hope the problem the pandemic brought has taught us many lessons about what to do and what not to do. I hope we convert challenges into opportunities.

Read on the Kathmandu Post – https://kathmandupost.com/columns/2022/02/21/opportunity-to-recalibrate-tourism

There is definitely a massive market for Nepali restaurants and Nepali food products

In Kigali, we were at a friend’s place to make dumplings and celebrate Chinese New Year. I had made some Kathmandu Valley momo achaar (a tomato base thick sauce with coriander, sesame seed powder and lapsi hog plum powder, and used readily available pumpkin seed powder instead of soybean powder and, of course, chillies) and an eastern Himalayan style spicy sauce with dalle chillies and timmur thrown in. 

People from more than 10 nationalities were there, but everyone had either tasted Nepali food or had been to Nepal. People started suggesting that given the large expatriate community, there should be a Nepali restaurant in Kigali similar to the one like Kat-Man-Doo Restaurant in Lilongwe, Malawi. One spoke about the yummiest momos they had in Seychelles, where many Nepali students go for jobs on student visas. 

Fantastic diaspora

Another one talked about discovering a Nepali restaurant in Warsaw, and I did share my surprise at finding a nice Nepali restaurant in Oslo. A Rwandese shared with me how Nepali restaurants became their go-to places during a conference in Lisbon. Rwandese students who have studied in India also share how they hung out with Nepali students during their student days, and loved food cooked by them as it had fewer spices and good taste. 

Perhaps in our quest to drown ourselves in the news of the myopia of Nepali politics, the fighting of older men at home, families, businesses, NGOs, social service organisations and, of course, politics has let us forget how the travels of Nepalis to more than 180 countries now have created a fantastic diaspora who like to showcase their food. The more we explore Nepali food, the more interesting it becomes, and if you are a good storyteller, articulating around how gundruk is made or how timmur is so different from the family of other Szechuan pepper, it can create conversations that can be the centerpiece of any gathering. The diversity ranging from Kathmandu Valley Newar food to the food of the Eastern and Western Himalaya to the variety in the Tarai can baffle anyone in terms of how a country considered so small between India and China has mind-boggling options. 

Many cookbooks are available in the market; Dolly Rana’s The Rana Cookbook is a visual treat and provides a peek into the Rana households. For Nepalis outside Nepal, Jyoti Pathak’s Taste of Nepalcontinues to be the go-to cookbook. I am waiting to get my hands on Santosh Shah’s Ayla and Prashanta Khanal’s Timmur. Both perhaps will help Nepali food to be put onto the global map. In Unleashing Nepal, I talked about how former Thailand prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra in the early 2000s urged leveraging the soft power of Thai food. He spoke about how every city in the world should have a Thai restaurant and every home in the world should be cooking Thai dishes. No wonder people in different parts of the world grow lemongrass, galangal and kaffir lime in their kitchen gardens. 

Talking about food is an art. When I go to the presentations, my team members tell me I am talking about food! I realize that many Nepalis who can cook very well cannot describe it to a Nepali or global audience. The art of conversations around food is essential. If we watch major food shows, it is equally about storytelling and descriptions and food. Good discussions can have a large audience. In two weeks, no one could believe that a 3-hour-23-minute conversation between Shrinkhala Khatiwada and Sisan Baniya would garner 1.1 million views. So, if there is good content, people do listen. We have seen many food bloggers emerging and people who are taking Nepali conversations about food global. 

Open minded

In my column Globalisation of Food, slightly more than a year back, I had talked about the identity of Nepali food as to how it is more than the identity of the people from Nepal, representing the more prominent Nepali speaking people around the world. Nepali food has to get out of the Nepali citizenship restrictions where Nepali nationalists are unwilling to treat an aloo dum from Sikkim or a marinated meat dish chhoyla done slightly differently by a Burmeli Nepali as Nepali food. 

There is definitely a massive market for Nepali restaurants and Nepali food products as the internet brings the world closer. People know that their experience with food in Nepal, unlike 25 years ago, can be repeated in some other part of the world. Many expatriates in Kigali urge us to figure out how making a Nepali restaurant here a reality. Perhaps, the opportunity exists for a global Nepali food chain or a coalition on a franchise basis that can dot every city of the 180 countries Nepalis live in. Will love to do a book in 2030 talking about the experience of visiting these! 

Read on The Kathmandu Post – https://tkpo.st/3oRpeDd

Stringent government measures will only throttle formal businesses and push them to leave Nepal

It seems folks in the government are being inspired by the old Panchayat regime and coming up with one draconian regulation after another. The central bank has posted new circulars making it impossible to undertake foreign travel without dipping into informal sources. Every Nepali can only avail of $1,500 twice a year for foreign trips. So, if you are travelling for business purposes to Europe or the United States, this would be about two and a half days of travel twice a year. Similarly, people who have US dollar accounts in Nepal could use dollar credit cards with certain limits. Now, this has been brought down to $ 2,000 each year. 

So technically, you can use $5,000 worth of foreign currency per year. This is also applicable for people who have US dollar income. We have been working in different countries and bringing foreign exchange back to Nepal. Now we are also in the same bracket of foreign currency restrictions. It does not matter whether people earn foreign exchange or not. The treatment is the same. The government complains that Nepalis living outside Nepal do not open foreign currency accounts in Nepal, but why would they do that if one has so many restrictions? The bizarre rule that has been introduced is that Nepalis cannot travel to the Gulf countries or Malaysia on a visit visa. Not sure whether this also applies to attending Destination Weddings. This goes back to the Shah and Rana rule, where an average Nepali citizen would have to take permission from the palace to make a foreign trip. 

Nepali companies, including those with foreign investments, are running from pillar to post to get foreign exchange approvals to pay foreign consultants, their travels, software and so forth. Hydropower companies complain about not getting support for payments above $10,000, even if it is to pay international financing institutions. I remember working on the Upper Bhote Koshi power project, and it was a nightmare to get approvals and later change some regulations. And now it seems we are back to the late 1980s early 1990s regime of strict control. As we are looking at hosting another Investment Summit in late 2022, the big question investors are still asking us is that if we cannot get a permit to pay $30,000 to a consultant, why would foreigners invest in Nepal.

Legal forex?

The issue of foreign exchange shortages and government control measures are not new. Most Nepali businesses have thrived on arbitrage—selling foreign-made products at night and promoting Made in Nepal products during the day has been an old hypocritical act. Under-invoicing in the popular business language is getting goods at lower rates officially to pay less taxes, and paying the extra amount through informal transfer like hundi has been an old practice as well. With remittance destinations increasing, it’s easy to collect money outside Nepal for such purposes and not rely on earlier sources of drugs and arms money (which are now coming under closer scrutiny). Such activities occur under political patronage, and these folks do not care whether there is an official source of foreign exchange. Therefore, we will not hear of any cartels speaking out against the draconian government measures. 

Every family in Nepal knows someone in the extended family or relatives who reside outside Nepal, and hence has a source of foreign exchange. They ask them to pay for forex needs, whether booking hotels, shopping, education fees, or even medical expenses. People do not find this wrong, and it’s a social practice that has flourished. Therefore, no one wants to be running around for forex permits. I have met people who do not know that there is something called permits. They tell me that their children are paying for the tickets to attend graduation, and they are getting a few hundred dollars from Thamel before they travel. 

Bureaucrats don’t care

One of the most significant stakeholders in devising rules and regulations, the bureaucrats, do not care. Many of their children are studying outside Nepal or settled in some foreign land, be it current or former. If not their children, one of their immediate family members. They manage foreign exchange for trips that are not official in this manner, so they have not the slightest interest in getting the rules right.

For the past three decades, several studies and reports have been presented in this regard. As they say, it is easy to wake up someone who is sleeping, but impossible to wake up someone pretending to sleep. In the 1980s, many businesses in India and other South Asian countries went to different geographical boundaries to keep their businesses going as they could not fight the draconian laws. Be ready to see a wave of Nepali firms and innovators move out to start businesses in different countries where they are not hassled to spend money they have earned. 

Read it on The Kathmandu Post – https://kathmandupost.com/columns/2022/01/24/back-to-the-eighties

The disillusionment campaign begins in an election year with millions of first-time voters.

The conventions of the major political parties are over. Three things have emerged from these conventions. Firstly, politics have nothing to do with ideology, and it is about garnering financial resources, buying out opponents, and getting into coveted positions. So, politics is all about money; getting into politics to make money is the easiest way; from a school teacher or badly faring student, you can become a multi-billionaire! Without much education, you can become chancellors of universities, appoint people, and run the education system. All it requires is to have a war chest. Secondly, with reasonable life expectancy in Nepal, older men will continue to lead parties which means the younger ones have no other option but to align with some octogenarians. Thirdly, by openly marginalizing women, the call is for conservatism. Reservation has become a way to ensure spouses, daughters, and daughters-in-law have access to political positions. Quotas for marginalized groups were leveraged by the powerful and converted to a joke patronized by the party leaders. Under this backdrop, what does Nepal’s election year have in store? 

Shun conservatism that contests secularism

Half of Nepal’s 15 million voters in the last election were in the 18-40-year-old category, and last time 1.3 million new voters were added. This year it will be closer to 2 million new voters or nearly one eighth of the total voters. The new set of voters who will be added would be born after the royal massacre of 2001 and have little or no memory of Nepal during the Shah rule. However, these are the new group of people who are wooed by all parties, including the so-called positioned as reformist and the party of the youth towards conservatism by selling the Hindu Kingdom narrative. 

I have seen great disgust among many men I know who do not take women’s empowerment in the past decade and a half positively. When I tweeted about why women are the ones who carry trays at function and its only men who put on the garlands, I was trolled with extracts on religious scriptures on the place of women by learned men. They have issues with women inheriting properties and children of women married to foreigners getting Nepali citizenship. In the past couple of years, I have seen many foreigners who had made Nepal their home for decades find alternative places to settle down. It looks impossible for Nepali mothers and foreign fathers to get full rights as Nepali citizens laid down in the constitution. Getting back to a Hindu kingdom and selling imported ‘Hindutva’ seems the masterstroke that all political parties seem to believe in. Therefore, associating with religious leaders who have questioned the science behind vaccines appears to be okay. 

This also means pushing patriarchy and the caste system, which Nepalis fought so long to get rid of. In a book by Vivian Marwaha, What Millennials Want, he writes from the extensive research he did before the Indian elections on how the current ruling party has used the religion narrative so well that most young people find the celebration of Valentine’s Day wrong. The policing of young couples in public spaces right, and only a tiny percentage wants to marry outside their caste. And when religious conservatism comes into play, rich Islamic states have shown how women quietly agree to the fate of becoming second class citizens. 

The stand of politicians, primarily men against secularism, perhaps reflect on their conduct on how they see the freedom to remain atheist or choose a religion of one’s choice as they want conservatism for others and space for themselves. The personal discomfort over the challenge towards the caste system and women’s position in society provides firm foundations to leaders finding support in their constituencies to oppose secularism. 

It is continuously significant to go back to history. Mahendra projecting himself as Vishnu’s reincarnation could only push panchayat rule to 30 years, not beyond. European history has many lessons to teach us when politics, religion, and conservatism are lumped together. Closer to Nepal, the history of Tibet tells us what happens when a religious leader and political leader in the same person. Only the current Dalai Lama, who was forced into exile, has provided a compassionate image of the ruler. The lessons are obvious, lump religion with politics. There surely will be short term gains as we see in India or Pakistan, but in the long run, it may not deliver equitable economic growth and a free society every citizen yearns for. 

To read in The Kathmandu Post – https://bit.ly/3zLuGvt

If we have a better set of folks managing the country, better governance would help accelerate growth.

The year 2021 is best forgotten for Nepal if you look at politics. Parliament did no business, and inter-party squabbles kept the parties going. With the conventions of the major political parties over, the trailer for the mess coming up in elections 2022-23 is already out. There will be lots of money exchanged for party tickets as corruption, power and money seem to become synonymous with politics. Of course, the judiciary has also got into its own set of controversies. So, 2021 came and went, but Nepalis moved on. So, what could be some perspectives of hope for the coming year? I just thought of looking at a few. 

When you take a plane after sunset flying in different parts of Nepal, one can see villages, towns and cities glittering in the dark. This is a stark contrast to five-six years ago when Nepal reeled under up to 16 hours of power cuts daily. Night flights are becoming popular, and it is nice to see a passenger from Bhadrapur transit in Kathmandu for a bit and then take off to Bhairahawa, something we could not have thought about a decade back. At highway eateries, not only refrigerators, but we see multiple electric appliances and the big coffee making machines becoming something one can spot in even remote places. Electricity has also ensured towns and villages stay open longer, which means more economic activities. Night classes for working people are becoming a reality, albeit private institutions are raking it in. 

Global icons

One film can uplift a nation. 14 Peaks: Nothing is Impossible, chronicling the ascent of peaks by Nirmal Purja and the team has created ripples around the world, and perhaps given hope to many young Nepalis. It has helped to change how Western climbers get all the spotlight, but people make their climbs happen. The Sherpas who build the trekking trails in Norway to the Nepalis who go to Goa and Uttarakhand to manage and guide adventure sports activities are setting global aspirations. Similarly, a Nepali chef in the United Kingdom, Santosh Shah, has lifted the spirits of many Nepalis working in kitchens worldwide. His book will help introduce the diversity of Nepali cuisine to the world, and perhaps we may see some Nepali fusion restaurants and Nepali chefs winning Michelin stars. 

When people ask me about the transformation of Bangladesh in the last decade, I talk about how the introduction of ride-hailing services changed freedom of movement, especially for women. Women were sitting on bikes behind strangers; something people could not have comprehended just a decade back. Similarly, Instagram and TikTok have changed what it means to express oneself. As a friend said, look at these young people who express themselves, and the older generation which imposed a lot of taboos cannot do anything but smile. At friends’ weddings, I remember how daughters-in-law could not dance in front of their father and mothers-in-law, and now videos of all kinds fill internet space. Restaurants are changing to take care of people who want to see better décor, better presentation of food and one Instagrammer can make or break one’s business. Of course, everything can have a dark side, but if we can focus on the positive transformations and the changes, we can appreciate how society is transforming.

We cannot tire talking about the resilient nature of Nepalis who have little hope in their government and take things into their own hands to move ahead. We saw through 10 years of the insurgency, earthquake, natural disasters and now the pandemic. Nepalis push on; they find their solutions to their problems. Youth support groups emerge from somewhere to help, and social media has played a significant role in connecting the people with issues and people willing to help. It is beautiful to see organisations coming out to feed the hungry, take care of street animals and ensure people get hospital beds and oxygen supplies during difficult times. This nature of resilience continues to give hope to Nepal, unleashing its potential.

Economy moves on

The Nepali economy has nothing to do with income, it has to do with assets; and as long as asset prices rise, there is enough money in the system. Every Nepali household has someone outside Nepal, and the money they send back keeps the Nepali economy going. We have seen remittances continue to grow, and the only change could be that the mix of formal and informal remittances have changed. Imports surged, which means people have money to spend, and consumption did not take a hit like in other countries. Nepalis will never compromise on what they eat and drink and how they will hold their social functions like weddings, birthdays and endless festivities. This ensures that the economy moves. If the formal economy goes through challenges like liquidity crunch, then the informal economy starts to take dominance. Further, Nepalis learning to discover their own country and telling the world about their country has pushed domestic tourism during the pandemic and this will only grow. 

So, looking ahead to 2022, we will see many such societal transformations increase, and the economy will keep moving. If we have a better set of folks managing the country, then perhaps the process of reforms and better governance would help accelerate economic growth.

Read in Kathmandu Post – https://bit.ly/32xlSwF